US Fed Cuts Interest Rates, But Signals Cautious Approach

The US Federal Reserve has cut interest rates but signaled a slower pace of rate cuts, citing a relatively stable unemployment rate and little recent improvement in inflation. The central bank’s decision reflects a cautious approach to monetary policy, with officials projecting only two quarter-percentage-point rate reductions by the end of 2025. The Fed’s move is seen as a response to the uncertainty surrounding the incoming Trump administration’s economic policies, which may have inflationary effects.
  • Forecast for 6 months: The US economy is expected to continue growing at a solid pace, with the unemployment rate remaining low and inflation staying somewhat elevated. The Fed is likely to maintain a cautious approach to monetary policy, with a possible pause in rate cuts in the next 6 months.
  • Forecast for 1 year: The Fed is expected to resume its easing cycle in March, with two quarter-percentage-point rate reductions by the end of 2025. The US economy is likely to continue growing, with inflation staying above the 2% target for another year.
  • Forecast for 5 years: The US economy is expected to experience a moderate growth rate, with inflation gradually returning to the 2% target by 2027. The Fed is likely to maintain a neutral stance, with interest rates remaining around 4% by 2025.
  • Forecast for 10 years: The US economy is expected to experience a long-term growth trend, with inflation staying around the 2% target. The Fed is likely to maintain a neutral stance, with interest rates remaining around 4% by 2034.

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