How to Calculate the Likelihood of a Forecast Coming True

Follow these steps to calculate the probability of a forecast coming true using AI assistance:

Step 1: Prepare the Prompt

To get an accurate calculation, send the following prompt to the AI:

Calculate the overall probability of the forecasts coming true in percentages using the formula: Overall Probability = (p1 + p2 + p3 + … + pn) / n Write a commentary with an expert evaluation of the likelihood of each forecast: (Insert the forecast texts here)

Step 2: Publish the Commentary

Once the AI provides the overall probability and commentary, ensure that you publish the commentary in the comments section for the forecast on the portal soothsayer.press. This will keep the evaluation transparent and accessible to readers. By following these instructions, you can efficiently calculate and document the likelihood of your forecasts coming true on the designated platform.