Researchers are flocking to the social-media platform Bluesky, hoping to recreate the good old days of Twitter. The platform has grown from close to 14 million users to nearly 21 million in just two weeks since the US presidential election. Bluesky offers users control over the content they see and the people they engage with, through moderation and protections such as blocking and muting features, which is appealing to researchers who have left Twitter due to increased spam, bots, and abusive content.
Forecast for 6 months: Bluesky’s user base is expected to continue growing, reaching 30-40 million users by the end of the year. The platform will face increasing competition from other social media platforms, but its focus on moderation and community protections will set it apart.
Forecast for 1 year: By the end of 2025, Bluesky will have established itself as a major player in the social media landscape, with a user base of 50-60 million. The platform will continue to attract researchers and scientists, but will also face challenges in maintaining its moderation and community protections in the face of growing demand.
Forecast for 5 years: By 2030, Bluesky will have become the go-to platform for researchers and scientists, with a user base of 100-150 million. The platform will have established itself as a leader in moderation and community protections, and will have attracted a wide range of users from academia, industry, and government.
Forecast for 10 years: By 2035, Bluesky will have become an integral part of the global social media landscape, with a user base of 200-250 million. The platform will have continued to evolve and adapt to the needs of its users, and will have established itself as a leader in moderation and community protections.
